FULL UNDERWRITE

Nursery Hill, Shamley Green

Detached 3-bed bungalow  •  850 sq ft (approx. 79 m²)  •  Guide £375,000

83 / 100Strong opportunity

EXAMPLE FULL UNDERWRITE

1. The property

Detached three-bedroom bungalow on Nursery Hill. Approximately 850 sq ft (79 m²), with driveway, garage and private garden. The property requires modernisation throughout and is being sold by Modern Method of Auction at a guide price of £375,000.

2. Price history — very important

First marketed at £475,000 in January 2026, reduced to £425,000 in May and reduced again to £375,000 on 31 July. The total reduction is £100,000, or 21%. The repeated reductions indicate a motivated vendor, but the auction structure and fees must be included before treating the whole discount as usable margin.

3. Sold comparables

All sales are on Nursery Hill. The strongest evidence is 14 Nursery Hill because it is a same-road detached bungalow with a verified floor area and a recent completed sale. The broader group provides a useful range but requires adjustment for type, size and condition.

AddressTypeFloor areaSold priceSale date£/sq ft
14 Nursery HillDetached bungalow1,098 sq ft£600,000Jan 2024£547
24 Nursery HillDetached1,593 sq ft£645,000Jul 2024£404
3 Nursery HillSemi-detached1,022 sq ft£560,000Aug 2025£547
49 Nursery HillSemi-detached1,194 sq ft£585,000Mar 2025£490
65 Nursery HillSemi-detached839 sq ft£420,000May 2024£501

4. Primary comparable and estimated value calculation

14 Nursery Hill is the strongest primary comparable: same road, matching detached-bungalow type, measured floor area and a completed sale. Its larger size requires a modest size adjustment before applying the rate to the subject.

SOLD PRICE ÷ FLOOR AREA£600,000 ÷ 1,098 sq ft = £546.50
SIZE-ADJUSTED RATEApproximately £556.06 / sq ft
SUBJECT VALUE850 sq ft × adjusted rate
EVIDENCE VALUE£472,654
−
GUIDE PRICE£375,000
=
ESTIMATED VALUE GAP£97,654

This is a benchmark comparison, not projected profit.

Indicative value evidence. Exact subject identity and condition still require confirmation before the figure is treated as verified.

5. Acquisition costs

The 4.5% auction reservation fee is approximately £16,875. The buyer information pack, SDLT, legal costs, survey and finance also reduce the apparent discount.

Working acquisition position about £421,000 before finance

6. Refurbishment costs

General refurbishment should be planned at £40–£60 per sq ft. For this Surrey property, the higher end is the safer starting point: about £46,750 at £55 per sq ft. Extensions, loft work, structural issues and abnormal works remain separately costed.

7. Development potential

The sensible routes range from modernising the existing bungalow to a modest extension or a properly designed loft/extension scheme. Maximum development is not automatically the most profitable route.

SchemeWhat is involvedApprox. sizeUnderwritten GDV
Modernise existingRefurbish the current accommodation850 sq ft£490k–£515k
Good extensionRear or side extension, subject to design1,050–1,150 sq ft£575k–£615k
Four-bedroom chaletLoft conversion and improvement1,200–1,350 sq ft£625k–£675k

8. Planning considerations

Shamley Green is within the Surrey Hills National Landscape. Loft and rear/side extensions may be possible, but the planning and permitted-development position must be checked carefully. Nearby precedent supports investigation; it does not guarantee consent.

9. What could kill the deal?

  • Planning refusal or restrictive conditions
  • Overlooking or neighbour objections
  • Hidden structural or services work
  • Build-cost inflation
  • Auction uncertainty and competing bidders

10. Underwriting view

The evidence supports a strong opportunity. Same-road evidence indicates a working as-is value around £473,000, leaving meaningful headroom against the guide. The opportunity still depends on fee-aware acquisition, condition, exact identity and a disciplined development route.

11. Maximum bid

Purchase price4.5% auction feeApprox. all-in acquisitionView
£365,000£16,425About £410,000Strong
£375,000£16,875About £421,000Buy if checks hold
£385,000£17,325About £433,000Still workable
£400,000£18,000About £450,000Margin becoming thin
£425,000£19,125About £479,000Walk away

12. Preferred strategy

Buy around the guide only after the evidence and condition checks hold. Plan first for a well-controlled refurbishment, then compare a modest extension or four-bedroom chalet scheme against the extra cost and realistic finished value.

13. Next move

Confirm the exact house identity, title, auction pack and planning history. Inspect the property and obtain contractor pricing. Once confirmed, bid only within the maximum-bid position supported by the evidence.

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About this analysis

Opportunity Scores, Value Gap estimates and development observations are indicative, not a formal valuation or professional advice. Verify property details, costs and any required permissions independently before making a decision.